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Opthea Limited

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Copmany Overview

About Opthea

Opthea is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company is facing an uncertain future in light of the failure of its Phase 3 clinical trial for Sozinibercept/OPT-302.

Opthea's Company History

Opthea emerged out of the shell of Circadian Technologies  which was an incubator of biotech companies and ideas. Over time, it saw potential in the idea of using vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) inhibitors to fight eye disease and adopted the name Opthea in 2015. The idea was that by using them, you could fight eye diseases particularly wet-AMD (the leading cause of blindness). The company passed Phase 1/2a in 2017 and then Phase 2 in 2019. The latter was a very large trial (with 366 patients) and was a spectacular success. Specifically, patients with a dose of OPT-302 would be able to see 3.4 letters more than they otherwise would – that is letters on one of those stereotypical letter charts you read out when going to the optometrist. And that is effectively one line. It took until 2022 for the company to enter Phase 3 and hopes were high that it’d be success. It was designed in the same way, only with far more patients. There was also hope that there’d be a market opportunity. Global sales of Lucentis and Eyelea were nearly US$8bn between them and their effect was more limited, in that they only targeted VEGF-A. Unfortunately both trials failed. In the first one, the placebo (i.e. aflibercept monotherapy) saw a gain of 13.7 letters whilst OPT-302 achieved a mean change of 13.5 letters when taken every 4 weeks and just 12.8 when achieved every 8 weeks. Although the therapy was well tolerated (in other words, there were no side effects), it clearly doesn’t work as well as the placebo and would be unlikely to attract commercial partners. The company told investors it had undertaken a thorough review of the data to ensure its accuracy and integrity, and that it had not identified anomalies that would cause questions in those regards.

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Forward View

Future Outlook of Opthea (ASX: OPT)

It’s pretty bleak. Opthea has over US$100m in cash. But…the contracts it signed with investors meant that in the event of clinical trial failure, it could be liable to repay them…not just what it received, but a lot more – up to US$680m in the most extreme case where it disagrees with investors. Opthea has told investors it is in active discussions with those investors to try and reach some kind of settlement. Under the present deal, the company cannot incur further non-equity funding or dispose of material assets without prior consent of DFA investors. Four of its eight board members have stood down and some fund managers who own shares have written their shares down to zero – one of which was Regal Funds Management.

Our Assessment

Is OPT a Good Stock to Buy?

No, and you cannot even buy it anyway right now because it is suspended, given it would fall to zero if shares could be traded. Even if it was trading, it all remains to be seen if the debt investors will have mercy on the company and give it another chance, rather than try and claim whatever money back they can.

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Faq

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Opthea's current financial status?
As of March 2025, Opthea reported cash and cash equivalents of US$113 million. However, the COAST trial failure and potential obligations under the DFA have raised concerns about the company’s financial stability.
Yes, Opthea’s shares have been suspended from trading on the ASX and Nasdaq since March 2025, pending further announcements regarding its financial position and trial outcomes.
No, Opthea does not currently pay dividends. The company is focused on research and development, and any returns for investors would come from capital appreciation.
Opthea’s shares have been suspended from trading on the ASX and Nasdaq since March 2025, pending further announcements regarding its financial position and trial outcomes.
Sozinibercept (OPT-302) was Opthea’s core asset, and the failure of the COAST and ShORe Phase 3 trials in wet age-related macular degeneration materially depleted the company’s near-term clinical pipeline. Any future value for shareholders is likely to depend on whether management can monetise existing intellectual property or pursue strategic transactions, rather than on an existing late-stage drug candidate.

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