Why Goldman Just Lifted Its AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) Target to US$640, and the AI Trend Behind It

KEY POINTS

  • AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) rallied nearly 7% on Monday, after touching 10.5% intraday, when Goldman Sachs raised its price target to US$640 from US$450 and kept its Buy rating.
  • The call reframes last week's near-11% chip selloff as a buying chance, not the start of a downturn.
  • Goldman's thesis is "agentic AI": the boom in AI that runs tasks by itself should drive demand for AMD's server chips, not just its GPUs.
  • With AMD already up around 147% this year, the debate is whether this run still has room, or is getting stretched.

AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) rallied nearly 7% on Monday, after jumping as much as 10.5% earlier in the day, when Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month price target to US$640 from US$450, while keeping its Buy rating.

The timing is what makes this interesting. AMD had just fallen almost 11% late last week as investors dumped chip stocks, so Goldman is effectively calling that dip a buying chance rather than a warning sign. For investors, the real question is not whether one bank turned bullish but whether the reason behind the call holds up.

Why Goldman Sees More Upside After a Huge Run

Here is the thinking. Goldman’s analyst raised the target ahead of AMD’s Q2 earnings next month, pointing to what he called a “constructive setup.” In plain terms, he believes AMD is heading into results with demand stronger than the market expects.

The core idea is “agentic AI,” which means AI tools that carry out tasks on their own, with little human input. That may sound like jargon, but the investment angle is simple: this kind of AI needs a lot of computing power, and much of it runs on the server processors (CPUs) that AMD sells.

In our view, this is the smart part of the call. Most investors think of the AI trade as GPUs and Nvidia, so Goldman is highlighting a second, less crowded way AMD wins as AI spreads through everyday business software.

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The AI Demand Story Driving AMD

This fits a bigger pattern. AMD has become a genuine challenger to Nvidia, with its MI-series AI accelerators gaining ground among the large cloud companies. Goldman expects AMD’s data-centre business to keep growing fast, helped by both these AI chips and its server CPUs.

The numbers show why the market is excited. AMD has climbed about 147% this year, making it one of the best-performing large US stocks of 2026. What’s encouraging is that the growth is being driven by real demand for AI chips, not just hype, as more of the world’s computing shifts toward AI workloads. The implication is that AMD’s earnings power could keep climbing if this shift continues.

The Investor’s Takeaway

So what should investors make of it? Here is the catch worth knowing. Even after lifting his target, Goldman’s analyst sees only about 16% more upside from here, and the average target across Wall Street actually sits below AMD’s current price. In other words, the stock has run so hard that even bullish analysts are struggling to keep their targets ahead of it.

We believe that is the key risk. After a run of this size, a lot of good news is already priced in, and any wobble in AI spending or a soft earnings guide could hit the shares hard. The bull case rests on AMD proving, at its AI event later this month and its Q2 results next month, that demand really is as strong as Goldman expects.

Our view: AMD looks like a high-quality way to play the AI boom, but it is no longer cheap, and one upbeat analyst note does not change that. For patient investors, waiting for the earnings proof, or a calmer entry point, makes more sense than chasing the pop.

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