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New Hope Corporation

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Copmany Overview

About New Hope Corporation

New Hope Corporation is an Australian-based energy and resources company primarily engaged in coal mining and exploration. The company’s portfolio is headlined by two flagship producing mines: the 100%-owned New Acland open-cut thermal coal mine in the Darling Downs, Queensland, and the 80%-owned Bengalla mine in the Hunter Valley, New South Wales. With a focus on thermal and metallurgical coal, New Hope operates several mining assets across Queensland and NSW, providing energy for both domestic and international markets.

New Hope Corporation History

New Hope Corporation is one of Australia’s oldest and most enduring coal producers, tracing its origins to 1952 when it was established in Ipswich, Queensland. The company built its early business around the rich coal seams of the Ipswich region, and by the early 1980s had become one of the first Australian miners to successfully export coal into Japanese markets – a relationship that remains commercially significant today. To service growing export business, New Hope co-developed Queensland Bulk Handling (QBH), a dedicated coal loading facility at the Port of Brisbane commissioned in 1983. New Hope retains a 50% stake in QBH, giving it a vertically integrated logistics advantage that peers cannot easily replicate. In the 1970s, the company was acquired by Washington H. Soul Pattinson (ASX: SOL), the diversified investment house that remains the anchor shareholder with approximately 39% of the register. New Hope listed on the ASX in September 2003. The company benefited significantly from high coal prices following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with profits surging several hundred percent. New Hope has pushed for expansion of New Acland Stage 3 and increased output at Bengalla – both of which received approvals – positioning the company for meaningful production growth through to FY28.

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Forward View

New Hope Corporation's Future Outlook

New Hope’s outlook is defined by a clear and credible production growth trajectory anchored by the ramp-up of New Acland Stage 3 – the largest organic growth project in the company’s history. FY26 production guidance of 10.2–11.5 million saleable tonnes reflects the ongoing ramp-up at New Acland and a recovery at Bengalla from weather-related disruptions in FY25. Bengalla is expected to return to its normal 13.4 million tonne per annum ROM coal production rate in H2 FY26. The Q2 FY26 quarterly showed group coal sales up 8.2% quarter-on-quarter to 2.9 million tonnes, an average realised price of A$139 per tonne, first-half underlying EBITDA of A$214.8 million, and available cash of A$616.8 million. New Acland Stage 3 is targeting approximately 5 million tonnes per annum via the Manning Vale West mining area. Combined with stable Bengalla output, analysts forecast total group production reaching approximately 13 million tonnes annually by FY28 – a 24% uplift from current levels with no new acquisitions required.

Our Assessment

Is New Hope (ASX: NHC) a Good Stock to Buy?

New Hope is one of the most financially robust coal producers on the ASX – but at current prices, the valuation debate is legitimate and investors should enter with clear eyes. The fundamental case is strong. FY25 delivered group saleable production of 10.7 million tonnes (up 18.1% year-on-year) alongside revenue of A$1.80 billion, net profit of A$439 million, and operating cash flows of A$571 million. The board declared total FY25 dividends of A$0.34 per share, fully franked, with a forward yield of approximately 6.7% and available cash of A$616.8 million. The complication is valuation. The share price has surged approximately 33% over the past 12 months to around A$5.35, trading 27% above its 200-day moving average and well ahead of analyst consensus price targets of around A$4.27. At a trailing P/E of approximately 18 times, NHC is no longer the deep value proposition it once was. For investors seeking a high-quality, fully franked yield from a low-cost producer with a genuine production growth catalyst, New Hope remains one of the better-run names in the sector. The key question is whether the current price leaves enough margin of safety to justify fresh capital today.

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Faq

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the dividend yield of New Hope Corporation?
New Hope offers an attractive dividend yield of over 6% as of mid-March 2026, with a strong track record of fully franked dividend payments, making it a reliable choice for income-focused investors.
Compared to its peers in the coal mining sector, New Hope stands out for its efficient operations and solid production base. It maintains a competitive edge in both domestic and international markets, though it faces similar risks including global coal price fluctuations.
Investors should be aware of risks related to global coal price volatility, environmental regulations, and shifting government policies that may impact coal production. The company’s heavy reliance on thermal coal may also become a challenge as renewable energy sources gain momentum.
For long-term investors, New Hope offers a stable income stream through fully franked dividends, but the sustainability of its business model could be impacted by changing market dynamics and regulatory pressures on thermal coal. Investors should weigh these factors carefully.
New Hope has guided to 10.2–11.5 million saleable tonnes of coal in FY26 and expects group production to reach approximately 13 million tonnes by FY28, representing a 24% uplift from current levels driven by the ramp-up of New Acland Stage 3.

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