Systems of Record Do Not Get Replaced Overnight
A couple of weeks ago, we published an article on Xero (ASX:XRO). It has been a tough year for the stock, now down roughly 57% from its highs and trading around $82.
In our view, the sell-off has been driven less by a collapse in the underlying business,…
Fortuna Metals Rutile in the Shadow of a US$2.3bn PFS Comparable
Fortuna Metals (ASX:FUN) has further demonstrated larger-scale rutile mineralisation within its Mkanda Project, which is 1 of 2 projects that sit within the Malwai resource jurisdiction.
The company ran a very shallow, first pass drilling program using hand auger holes, and reported only the top…
From iPhone Glass to AI Infrastructure, The Story Has Changed
Many investors are starting to take notice of Corning, a 175 year old US company that the market used to think of as a “boring” business.
The stock has pushed to new all time highs, marking a major turnaround for a company best known for the…
Not a Takeover, A Partnership Style Deal With Challenger
Pepper Money (ASX:PPM) surged 25% at the market open today after speculation circulated about a potential acquisition.
Challenger Limited has now responded to the media reports, confirming it is in advanced but incomplete discussions regarding a possible deal involving Pepper Money.
Based on what has been discussed so…
14% Sales Growth, 128B Spend, Now What?
Amazon has fallen about 9%. While we are holders of the stock, when we look at risk to reward and current market sentiment, the setup feels less attractive than it did. With capex reaching $128 billion, the near term risks look higher than the potential reward, especially given…
The Tech and AI Valuation Reality Check
When it comes to stock prices, they usually rise when fundamentals and earnings improve.
The catch is that markets do not move purely on logic. They are heavily influenced by emotion driven buying and selling, and that can be a double edged sword.
In names like Nvidia, Broadcom, Microsoft, and…
The Sell Off Isn’t About One Quarter, It’s About the Multiple
AMD has sold off hard, down around 21% in the last five trading days after a revenue miss. Even with the share price pulling back toward the $200 level, it feels like there is more going on here than a simple “bad quarter” narrative.
Because…
Why Are Tech and SaaS Stocks Selling Off Right Now?
You have probably felt the brute force of this sell-off first-hand. Many portfolios have taken a hit, and it is not just the speculative end of the market.
Even some of the ASX mid and large-cap darlings, names like Xero and WiseTech Global, are now more…
The SaaS Reset Creates a New Entry Debate for Xero Shares
Across the Australian tech complex, we have seen a clear de rating cycle in many premium SaaS and infrastructure names including WiseTech, Xero, TechnologyOne and Megaport. In our view, this has largely been a healthy correction rather than a collapse in business quality.
Many of…
Is the Market Missing the Real Question on Wisetech Global
From writing on over 100 different ASX companies over the past year, one fundamental lesson keeps showing up again and again.
Making money in markets is rarely about simply buying “great companies” or chasing the next big idea. It’s about buying quality businesses at the right…
