Bab el-Mandeb Is the Real ASX Market Risk
Over the weekend, the Houthis formally entered the current Iran-Israel-US conflict by launching their first direct attacks on Israel since the war began. The group reportedly fired missiles and later carried out a drone strike, saying the attacks were in response to strikes on Iran and allied…
Market news
It was one of those weeks where the market gave with one hand and took with the other. The ASX 200 climbed 1.85% on Wednesday to 8,534 points when ceasefire hopes briefly lifted sentiment, then retreated sharply as those hopes collapsed by Thursday. By Friday, US futures were pointing lower, and investors were left asking…
Since attacks flared up on February 28, the bitter conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran has triggered ripple effects across the global markets. Oil and gas prices have gone through the roof, and the longer the crisis continues, the greater the risk of stagflation. By late March 2026, the stock market had been abnormally…
This Conflict Isn’t Resolved, It’s Repriced
We are seeing two things happen at once between the US and Iran, military escalation and diplomatic back-channeling are running in parallel.
Neither side wants to be seen publicly as the one pushing hardest for negotiation. Iran cannot look weak after the strikes, and the US, especially under Trump, cannot…
It is easy to think the Impact of The Iran War is simply businesses in the oil space or that use oil in their operations (for instance freight businesses). Or by extension, companies in the 'consumer discretionary' space that find due to higher energy prices (and interest rates), that their goods are more discretionary than…
The Market Prices a Pause, Not Peace
Oil markets had a dramatic session on Monday, with Brent falling below US$100 per barrel and WTI dropping to US$88, both down roughly 10% after Trump posted that he was postponing threatened strikes against Iran.
For many investors, that probably comes as no surprise. In reality, bombing more energy…
It has been a very interesting turn of events in markets year to date, with the volatility index, which is a key gauge of market sentiment, now up 80%.
There are several signals pointing to a much more bearish backdrop. Both gold and equities have seen significant outflows, with the GLD ETF recording its worst monthly…
Brett Blundy has always been at his most interesting when the market is uncertain. His latest buying in Lovisa is not a confirmation of strength. It is a statement that he believes the business is holding up better than the share price suggests.
That distinction matters.
The share price has drifted lower, and the chart is not…
Scaling is working, but the market is still waiting for cash
The share price of Murray Cod Australia has not followed a smooth trajectory over the past twelve months. It has been defined by weakness for much of the period, followed by a sharp recovery in March after insider buying triggered a re-rating.
That move was…
Imagine this time 6 years ago that there could be a crisis 'worse than COVID'? Around this time, the ASX had crashed over 35% in just a few weeks, and the reason was COVID.
Well...in reality it was the uncertainty facing the global economy and business because it was right around this point that markets began…
