14% Sales Growth, 128B Spend, Now What?
Amazon has fallen about 9%. While we are holders of the stock, when we look at risk to reward and current market sentiment, the setup feels less attractive than it did. With capex reaching $128 billion, the near term risks look higher than the potential reward, especially given…
Technology
The Tech and AI Valuation Reality Check
When it comes to stock prices, they usually rise when fundamentals and earnings improve.
The catch is that markets do not move purely on logic. They are heavily influenced by emotion driven buying and selling, and that can be a double edged sword.
In names like Nvidia, Broadcom, Microsoft, and…
If you want proof the COVID pandemic was a crazy time, just take a look at a list of ASX stocks that overinflated during that time, and how they subsequently crashed. We have put together one such list, it is not intended to be exhaustive, but we think it covers the main 7 that would…
The Sell Off Isn’t About One Quarter, It’s About the Multiple
AMD has sold off hard, down around 21% in the last five trading days after a revenue miss. Even with the share price pulling back toward the $200 level, it feels like there is more going on here than a simple “bad quarter” narrative.
Because…
Why Are Tech and SaaS Stocks Selling Off Right Now?
You have probably felt the brute force of this sell-off first-hand. Many portfolios have taken a hit, and it is not just the speculative end of the market.
Even some of the ASX mid and large-cap darlings, names like Xero and WiseTech Global, are now more…
The SaaS Reset Creates a New Entry Debate for Xero Shares
Across the Australian tech complex, we have seen a clear de rating cycle in many premium SaaS and infrastructure names including WiseTech, Xero, TechnologyOne and Megaport. In our view, this has largely been a healthy correction rather than a collapse in business quality.
Many of…
Is the Market Missing the Real Question on Wisetech Global
From writing on over 100 different ASX companies over the past year, one fundamental lesson keeps showing up again and again.
Making money in markets is rarely about simply buying “great companies” or chasing the next big idea. It’s about buying quality businesses at the right…
We all know high interest rates impact tech stocks - yesterday's hike by the RBA led to the ASX 200's list of laggards today dominated by the largest tech companies including WiseTech, Xero and TechnologyOne.
But while most investors would know that fact, not all investors would be aware of just how they do. In this…
SpaceX xAI Takeover, The Full Story
SpaceX says it has acquired xAI, and the internal memo frames the combination as a vertically integrated innovation engine spanning rockets, satellites and communications, and AI.
The memo does not lay out full financial disclosure, but the reported valuation context is already eye-watering. Reuters reported the transaction as being valued…
Aura Buys Qoria, Shareholders Roll Into Aura CDIs
Aura is proposing to acquire 100% of Qoria via a scheme of arrangement, governed by a Merger Implementation Deed. If it proceeds, the combined group is intended to list on the ASX under the proposed ticker AXQ.
What makes this structure worth paying attention to is the consideration.…
