AMP (ASX:AMP) Statutory Profit Sank, Underlying Profit Jumped, So Why Did It Fall?
The Market Saw $133m, Not the $285m Story
AMP had a sharp fall early this morning, and it felt like the market was laser focused on statutory numbers this reporting season.
Statutory NPAT fell 11%, largely because of the size of the below the line items that hit reported profitability.
What’s interesting though is the underlying picture looked very different. Underlying NPAT was up 20% to $285m, while statutory NPAT came in at $133m.
In AMP’s reconciliation, the biggest drag was $95m of litigation and remediation costs, alongside business simplification costs.
The reason these kinds of “one offs” can trigger hard sell offs is pretty simple. Investors start to worry about whether the company can actually get to clean, repeatable earnings, or whether more large provisions are still sitting in the pipeline.
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Litigation Costs Keep Biting
Stepping back from the one off items, the earnings trend is still moving in the right direction, and it’s being driven more by controllable costs coming down than by revenue expansion.
That matters, because the topline is barely growing. Total revenue was only up 2.8%, and this is a mature market where it’s genuinely hard to grow fast. So the core focus shifts to execution: how efficiently AMP can run the business, lift profitability, and turn that into cleaner earnings.
That’s also why the market has become tougher on stocks like this. If growth is limited, investors want consistency and operational discipline, not surprises.
One other point worth calling out is what happened to platform economics. Across both major wealth platforms, the AUM revenue margin fell from 45 bps to 42 bps. AMP also explicitly pointed to margin compression drivers across super and investments, with AUM revenue marginally down.
So the takeaway is pretty clear. Cashflows are improving, but the unit economics per dollar of AUM are compressing, and that’s the trade off investors are trying to price.
Costs Are Falling, But Legacy Noise Won’t Go Away Yet
The key question for investors is how much more litigation and remediation is still to come.
Yes, these costs should not last forever, but they have been a swing factor for long enough that the market won’t just wave them away. For long term holders, the way to frame it is simple: operating margins are improving, but the real debate is whether 2025 was a clean up year that won’t repeat, or whether this is still a rolling problem that keeps resurfacing.
There’s a small but important tell in the pack. They reference “Group Cash proforma adjusted for settled legacy legal matters in 1H26,” which implies at least some legacy legal matters are still being resolved into the next half.
So my base case would be to assume some continuation risk, and then watch the magnitude every half.
The moment the market becomes confident these items are genuinely tapering, AMP gets a lot easier to value on clean earnings, and the multiple pressure usually starts to ease.
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