Not all REITs are created equal. Here’s the best REITs for 2023!

Nick Sundich Nick Sundich, February 15, 2023

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are a type of security that invests in real estate. REITs can provide investors with an attractive source of income, diversification and the potential for long term capital appreciation.

Furthermore, they offer all these advantages with far more liquidity than private real estate investments and without the obligation of having to purchase or manage property directly. But why should you consider them and how can you value them?

 

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What do REITs do?

REITs typically own income-producing real estate. REITs listed on the ASX typically own five types of properties: offices, industrial, retail, social infrastructure and residential properties.

REITs typically hold their investments for the long term while collecting rent, but they can sell them if necessary to generate cash for operations or meet shareholder demand.

REITs investors benefit from the ability to diversify their portfolio across different types of real estate with a single investment. Moreover, since REITs trade on major exchanges, just like stocks do, they offer investors access to liquid markets where they can buy and sell their shares whenever they wish.

 

Advantages of investing in REITs

There are two main advantages of investing in REITs.

Firstly, unlike traditional stocks and bonds, which usually pay dividends at regular intervals throughout the year, most REITs pay out dividends quarterly or semi-annually. The amount distributed as a percentage of earnings is often much higher than what could be realised through traditional investments. This is due to tax advantages offered to this type of security.

And secondly, there’s potential for significant share price appreciation over time because REITs’ underlying holdings often increase in value as rental rates rise and properties appreciate in value over time. This provides investors with an additional opportunity for growth beyond what would be available from other types of investments such as stocks or bonds.

 

How to value REITs

Investors value REITs based on a variety of factors, including their income potential, diversification benefits and potential for capital appreciation. There are 2 popular ways.

 

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Net Tangible Assets

First, there is the discount or premium to the REIT’s NTA (Net Tangible Assets) per share. The NTA is essentially a reference point for what an investor could obtain for each and every share in the business in the event all of the REIT’s properties were sold.

A REIT trading at a discount to its NTA might be considered undervalued whilst one trading at a premium might be considered overvalued. Nevertheless, there might be good reasons why the stock is trading at a premium or a discount in the first place.

 

Price / Funds From Operations

The second valuation method uses the P/FFO (Price to Funds From Operations) multiple. It is similar to the P/E multiple except that it is more relevant to the REIT business model. FFO is essentially net income with depreciation added and gains from the sale of properties deducted.

Some REITs might also use Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO). AFFO is not a formal accounting metric, but it takes into account certain costs incurred by the REIT and additional income sources, such a rent increases.

 

You can also use P/E

For REITs that do not use FFO, investors may use P/E (Price to Earnings per Share) instead. Investors may also consider the yield from a REIT’s dividends or distributions to investors when making the decision about whether or not to invest.

 

The state of the market

REITs have been in a sorry state since the pandemic. During the Corona Crash, many individual REITs plunged out of fear that distributions would dry up and the property market would crash. The poor state of the property market recently, as a result of rising interest rates, hasn’t helped the recovery either. Indeed, the ASX 200 REIT Index is still down 16% from the highs in early 2020.

 

ASX 200 REIT Index, log scale (Source: TradingView)

 

Not all REIT’s have equal opportunities

It is unlikely that there’ll be a sector-wide recovery until there is clarity on how high interest rates will go. Nevertheless, this does not mean that there won’t be opportunities out there for investors, nor that all sectors will rise if and when there is more clarity on the direction of interest rates.

There remains significant uncertainty surrounding office REITs because of the rise of flexible working. Similarly, because of the long term rise of eCommerce there are many question marks around discretionary retail REITs as well.

 

But what are the best REITs?

Industrial REITs, however, offer the most promise of any sector, in our view, given the demand for industrial property that is driving rents and property values up. So called ‘social infrastructure’ properties, such as childcare centres, offer promise too given government subsidies and consequential income stability.

 

REITs represent good investment opportunity

Overall, the key factors that investors consider when valuing REITS are their income potential and diversification benefits along with the potential for capital appreciation over time. However, in the current market, it is important that investors think critically about their investing decisions, because there is uncertainty over the sector recovery, i.e. if and when it may come. Additionally, there’s likely to be significant divergence in performance among different property sectors. So pick wisely!

 

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